Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.685057 2.863725 3.054061 3.272913 3.518865 3.788233 4.107627
2025-12-21 2.414966 2.660074 2.935911 3.272969 3.678901 4.159046 4.781061
2025-12-28 2.239798 2.517133 2.840281 3.251296 3.770417 4.419537 5.319437
2026-01-04 2.070705 2.359282 2.703729 3.154499 3.744026 4.512951 5.637896
2026-01-11 1.973538 2.277212 2.647900 3.146327 3.820693 4.738342 6.158585
2026-01-18 1.920231 2.243209 2.646261 3.203144 3.983397 5.093995 6.923494
2026-01-25 2.011974 2.396279 2.892962 3.610303 4.676319 6.318714 9.360195
2026-02-01 1.888345 2.261119 2.747644 3.459269 4.535223 6.233378 9.498795
2026-02-08 1.770220 2.127559 2.597126 3.290070 4.350675 6.053850 9.420861
2026-02-15 1.706396 2.063367 2.537742 3.248168 4.358103 6.193973 10.003838
2026-02-22 1.636660 1.987988 2.458781 3.171688 4.303053 6.217749 10.348418
2026-03-01 1.563600 1.905246 2.365755 3.068566 4.196417 6.137058 10.445743
2026-03-08 1.487356 1.820807 2.274190 2.974248 4.116724 6.132973 10.815979
2026-03-15 1.444068 1.780638 2.244497 2.974027 4.197052 6.446889 12.090989
2026-03-22 1.399619 1.736315 2.205674 2.955533 4.242342 6.698796 13.324273
2026-03-29 1.340698 1.669044 2.129797 2.872691 4.165299 6.688658 13.812379
2026-04-05 1.306961 1.635973 2.102485 2.865686 4.223439 6.972947 15.365396
2026-04-12 1.290340 1.626429 2.109339 2.914353 4.388917 7.527008 18.251929
2026-04-19 1.346381 1.724365 2.284443 3.260680 5.181866 9.836899 32.326169
2026-04-26 1.288348 1.651530 2.190618 3.132701 4.994603 9.542660 32.063660
2026-05-03 1.229531 1.576009 2.090227 2.988647 4.763600 9.096233 30.504394
2026-05-10 1.198021 1.540404 2.051629 2.952859 4.760073 9.299392 33.854129
2026-05-17 1.161671 1.496458 1.998165 2.887420 4.686886 9.287520 35.689900